Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Mortágua		União de Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	2.01	2.8	4
	2.08	2.69	4.3
	2.02	2.83	3.99
	2.01	2.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.51)	2.94 ↓ (3.75)	4.41 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
47.8%

Draw
31.3%

União de Coimbra
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mortágua's form might have worsened.

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União de Coimbra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mortágua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União de Coimbra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mortágua - União de Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Wesley Delgado ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Traquina ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 2, Cardoso Costa Dias T. A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mortágua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

União de Coimbra has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

União de Coimbra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mortágua is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mortágua - Peniche	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Mortágua - Alcains	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Os Marialvas - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTTT
- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Elvas - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	União de Coimbra - Fatima	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	União de Coimbra - Alverca B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.11.24	União de Coimbra - Mortágua	0:1
07.04.24	Mortágua - União de Coimbra	0:1
26.11.23	União de Coimbra - Mortágua	1:1

Mortágua - União de Coimbra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide