The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
União de Montemor 30.4%
Draw 28.3%
Serpa 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
29.5%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
31.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Montemor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União de Montemor's form might have worsened.
Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serpa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Montemor than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Montemor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
União de Montemor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Serpa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Serpa will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches União de Montemor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.