Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	União de Santarém		Loures

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.5
	1.37	3.75	7
	1.39	4.07	9.45
	1.35	4.4	8.5
	1.37	4.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	4.1 ↑ (3.78)	8.05 ↑ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
66.5%

Draw
22.2%

Loures
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

União de Santarém - Loures Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santarém will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Loures will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches União de Santarém is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Loures has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

União de Santarém could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Loures have a series of home games.

In this match União de Santarém is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams União de Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	União de Santarém - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Sintrense - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Arronches Benfica - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTWT
- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
29.01.23	Loures - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	1 Dezembro - Loures	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Loures - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Loures - União de Santarém	1:1
Taça de Portugal
11.09.21	União de Santarém - Loures	0:1 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.03.21	Loures - União de Santarém	1:0
06.12.20	União de Santarém - Loures	1:1

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