Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.88	2.2
	2.4	2.87	2.8
	3.3	2.85	2.24
	2.58	2.92	2.82
	3.35	2.89	2.26	Watch
	3.41	2.97	2.28
	3.3	2.85	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.17)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)	2.41 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
29.8%

Draw
31.9%

San Sebastian Reyes
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Adarve's form might have worsened.

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Sebastian Reyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Adarve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Llamas C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Herrero A. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Unión Adarve could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	San Sebastian Reyes - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Melilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	1:2
05.05.24	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2
07.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	4:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.19	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2
28.10.18	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	2:2
25.02.18	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	2:2
08.10.17	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1

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