The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 43.3%
Draw 26.6%
Unión Española 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
26.5%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
27.2%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Santiago Wanderers - Unión Española Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Unión Española will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 15. Villarroel M. 5. Navarro L. (C) 23. Flores I. 14. Ponce C. 37. San Martin D. 9. Camarda M.
13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 32. Molina L. 30. Cordero R. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. (C) 23. Ojeda U. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 20. Wassenne M.
Substitutes
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 24. Dubo A. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 32. Vargas V. 19. Villarroel C.
10. Aranguiz P. 6. Jauregui B. 24. Norambuena G. 22. Nunez A. 25. Ovando T. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
24', Celis M. 🟨,
30', Celis M. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Camarda M. ⚽,
45+4', Fierro J. 🟨,
45+6', Ojeda U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ojeda U. ↓, Aranguiz P. ↑,
46', San Martin D. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
58', Villarroel M. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
58', Flores I. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
68', Luna J. 🟨,
69', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Tolosa T. ↑,
70', Ormeno M. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
71', Jauregui B. 🟨,
74', Norambuena G. 🟨,
74', Valenzuela C. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
80', Molina L. 🟨,
81', Ponce C. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Camarda M. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
9
U. Espanola
26
10
6
10
32:34
-2
36
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Unión Española - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Martinez B. (G) 
Felipe S. 
Navarro L. (C) 
Massri F. (C) 
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