Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 13

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Copiapó		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.72
	2.46	3.4	2.77
	2.37	3.53	2.74	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.3	3.3	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	2.73 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
38.8%

Draw
27.6%

Unión Española
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Deportes Copiapó - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Copiapó will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Unión Española will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 13. Opazo D. 15. Santander J. 17. Kimura N. 20. Filla M. 6. Zamorano C. 8. Rios A. 10. Ledezma I. 28. Espoz F. 7. Ross C. (C) 9. Palacios L.	13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 21. Pereira S. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. (C) 30. Cordero R. 25. Ovando T. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 20. Wassenne M.
Substitutes
21. Fernandez E. 1. Leyton R. (G) 27. Lopez M. 4. Ortiz A. 26. Perez G. 23. Rojas M. 3. Suarez N.	3. Alarcon R. 15. Droguett B. 22. Nunez A. 16. Ormeno M. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G) 7. Vasquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Espoz F. ⚽,
22', Roco B. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Espoz F. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,
42', Ledezma I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Copiapó has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión Española is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Copiapó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 2.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Deportes Copiapó - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.05.26	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportes Temuco - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
15.09.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión Española	2:3
21.04.24	Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó	5:3
26.08.23	Deportes Copiapó - Unión Española	4:3
04.03.23	Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó	3:0

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