Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 10

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.91	3.53	3.56
	1.93	3.7	3.56	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.89	3.48	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.49 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
47.5%

Draw
26.3%

Curicó Unido
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Unión Española - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 18. Aja J. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 22. Nunez A. 17. Massri F. 7. Vasquez R. 8. Rubio P. (C) 20. Wassenne M.	22. Tello D. (G) 39. Gomez J. P. 4. Colombo R. 40. Oliver F. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 15. Sanhueza H. 21. Ormeno E. 16. Riveros R. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C. 17. Inostroza B.
Substitutes
3. Alarcon R. 15. Droguett B. 33. Jaramillo C. 16. Ormeno M. 25. Ovando T. 12. Uribe E. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.	27. Alfaro J. 29. Avendano D. 37. Guzman R. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 23. Lopez L. 8. Romo J. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Inostroza B. 🟨,
38', Ormeno E. 🟨,
41', Roco B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nunez A. ↓, Droguett B. ↑,
46', Vasquez R. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Rubio P. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Wassenne M. ⚽,
63', Riveros R. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
64', Aja J. 🟨,
73', Ormeno E. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
73', Fernandez N. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
79', Roco B. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
82', Celis M. ↓, Ormeno M. ↑,
87', Rubio P. ↓, Ovando T. ↑,
88', Inostroza B. ↓, Avendano D. ↑,
89', Colombo R. 🟨,
90+1', Alfaro J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Unión Española could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:16. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.04.26	Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Unión Española - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.09.23	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:2
17.04.23	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1
25.07.22	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	1:3
28.02.22	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1
16.10.21	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:1
28.05.21	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	1:2
31.01.21	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	2:4

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