Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Unión Magdalena		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.21	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.18	2.99	3.68	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.19	3.09	3.45	Watch
	2.21	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	3.52 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
42.8%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Pereira
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 4. Murillo D. 2. Perez R. (C) 5. Payares M. 30. Mosquera D. 22. Barreto O. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 8. Sanchez V. 17. Blanco R. 10. Sarmiento J. 21. Marquez R.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 34. Bazan J. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 26. Suarez Y. 15. Aguilar S. 14. Rios J. 10. Cabrera Y. 77. Mosquera L. 13. Quinones Y. 7. Quintero D.
Substitutes
9. Diaz K. 20. Giraldo J. 28. Mercado J. 14. Pinto J. 1. Restrepo E. (G) 26. Tello J. 33. Vanegas Zuniga O. L.	23. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 31. Gonzalez L. 11. Largacha J. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 9. Pena G. 19. Ramirez J. 35. Rengifo N.
Coaches
Garcia A.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bazan J. 🟨,
31', Barreto O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Mosquera D. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
46', Barreto O. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Suarez Y. ⚽,
51', Ichazo S. 🟨,
53', Rios J. 🟨,
56', Cabrera Y. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
57', Sanchez V. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
57', Largacha J. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Mosquera L. ⚽,
81', Bazan J. 🟨,
81', Bazan J. 🟨,
84', Moreno Gomez E. A. ↓, Rengifo N. ↑,
84', Mosquera L. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
84', Quintero D. ↓, Pena G. ↑,
88', Murillo D. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Marquez R. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Mercado J. ⚽,
90+8', Marquez R. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 3.

Unión Magdalena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pereira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Magdalena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:27 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
05.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
06.04.25	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.09.23	Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena	1:2
12.04.23	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira	0:3
16.10.22	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira	2:0
29.04.22	Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena	2:0
Colombian Primera B
15.11.18	Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena	2:3
21.10.18	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira	3:0
20.09.18	Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena	0:0

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