Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Junior Barranquilla		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.48	4.05	6.9	Watch
	1.49	3.95	7.62
	1.50	3.90	6.83	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.8
	1.47	4.15	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	3.89 ↓ (4.08)	6.69 ↓ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
62%

Draw
24%

Unión Magdalena
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 3. Herrera E. 66. Baez C. 98. Pena J. 26. Suarez Y. 28. Celis G. 22. Rivas J. 17. Salazar J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 88. Castrillon B. 9. Paiva G.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 15. Urrego Hector 3. Ramos N. 30. Mosquera D. 16. Congo J. 24. Cantillo F. 80. Hinojosa R. 10. Sarmiento J. (C) 29. Contreras J. 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
19. Acuna S. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 38. Borja S. 99. Enamorado J. 16. Esparragoza C. 34. Guerrero J. 37. Licona A. 30. Martinez J. (G) 5. Rivera D.	8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 12. Heredia D. (G) 23. Lastre E. 11. Martinez M. 28. Mercado J. 6. Ortiz D. 26. Tello J.
Coaches
Arias A.	Garcia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Rivas J. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Chara Y. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
21', Hinojosa R. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Cantillo F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castrillon B. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
61', Urrego Hector 🟨,
62', Pena J. 🟥,
67', Lerma J. 🟨,
68', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
68', Congo J. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
69', Chara Y. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Ramos N. (Own goal),
77', Urrego Hector ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
77', Mosquera D. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
79', Rivas J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
79', Salazar J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
80', Celis G. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
90+8', 4 - 1, Enamorado J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Junior has had a series of away games.

In this match, Junior is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Junior won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
19.07.25	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
11.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLL
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
18.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
05.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	0:0 ✺
29.05.25	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
26.03.25	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	2:1
08.02.25	Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
09.09.23	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	7:1
05.08.23	Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
26.03.23	Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla	2:2
09.02.23	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	0:0
13.10.22	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:1

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