Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Santiago de las Atalayas (Yopal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pereira		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.95	3.7	1.68	Watch
	5.43	3.76	1.68
	4.74	3.65	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.7
	4.96	3.6	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.68)	3.64 ↓ (3.72)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
19%

Draw
25.7%

Once Caldas
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

24.5%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera J. (C) 21. Pacheco W. 11. Largacha J. 2. Urrea S. 29. Renteria R. 30. Bovone T. 31. Diaz M. 24. Urrea J. 3. Rengifo N. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 88. Quinones Y.	99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 2. Cardona J. 33. Patino J. 15. Alvarado J. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 42. Quinones J. 10. Sanchez L. 9. Gomez P. 17. Moreno D.
Substitutes
10. Acosta S. 19. Aguirre M. 12. Betancourth J. (G) 25. Delgado F. 20. Monroy J. 13. Morales J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 37. Moreno L. 8. Mosquera F.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 21. Guzman H. 70. Quinones D. 18. Riquett J. 20. Roa A. 5. Rojas I. 19. Rojas T. 30. Tamayo K. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Reyes A.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Urrea J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Urrea J. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
54', Urrea S. 🟨,
55', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
56', Alvarado J. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
60', Patino J. ↓, Tamayo K. ↑,
65', Pacheco W. 🟨,
68', Rengifo N. 🟨,
73', Largacha J. ↓, Monroy J. ↑,
74', Diaz M. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
77', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
77', Sanchez L. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
82', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
90', Castano J. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.

Pereira is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Once Caldas is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Last Results with these Odds

Once Caldas - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.94%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
06.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Alianza Valledupar	2:3 ✺
02.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
05.09.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
03.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	2:1
22.03.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	1:1
19.02.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	3:1
03.09.24	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	0:1
22.02.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:2
10.09.23	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	1:2

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