Match Info

CHILE: Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Felipe (San Felipe) 🌤️ ...


	Unión San Felipe		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.48	Watch
	6	4.2	1.42
	6	4.2	1.48	Watch
	6.61	4.12	1.49	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.44
	6.75	4.05	1.42	Watch
	6	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↓ (7.5)	4.08 ↓ (4.8)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión San Felipe
14.8%

Draw
22.4%

Colo-Colo
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.2%

19.1%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.1%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Unión San Felipe - Colo Colo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Garces P. (G) 8. Baglivo G. L. 14. Cordova J. 19. Gonzalez D. 23. Gonzalez Y. 5. Leon A. 9. Munoz C. 28. Olea M. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 3. Ulloa H. 22. Zafarana I.	30. De Paul F. (G) 5. Alarcon T. 15. Amor E. 10. Aquino C. 3. Gutierrez D. 25. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 20. Oroz A. (C) 19. Rodriguez S. 4. Saldivia A. 6. Vegas S.
Substitutes
13. Carcamo M. 4. Contreras S. 6. Gonzalez B. 25. Ibacache M. (G) 20. Mella J. 16. Navarro P. 26. Rodriguez P. 21. Ruiz M. 7. Vergara S.	. Clerveaux D. 13. Gutierrez B. 24. Hernandez L. 17. Riquelme C. 33. Rojas J. 56. Suarez N. . Vega 2. Villagra J. 12. Villanueva E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
23', Baglivo G. L. 🟨,
31', Opazo Lara O. 🟨,
33', Alarcon T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Oroz A. ⚽, Aquino C. (A),
53', Opazo Lara O. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
59', Gutierrez D. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
61', Riquelme C. 🟨,
62', Munoz C. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
68', Ulloa H. ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
68', Cordova J. ↓, Mella J. ↑,
78', Alarcon T. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
78', Oroz A. ↓, Clerveaux D. ↑,
83', Mendez V. 🟨,
85', Sagredo B. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
85', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
89', Navarro P. 🟨,

Preview

Unión San Felipe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colo-Colo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Colo-Colo is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unión San Felipe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión San Felipe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.03.25	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Copiapó	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.02.25	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
09.03.25	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.02.25	Colo-Colo - Unión San Felipe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
12.02.25	Colo-Colo - Unión San Felipe	4:0
Chilean Primera Division
26.10.12	Unión San Felipe - Colo-Colo	2:1
05.05.12	Colo-Colo - Unión San Felipe	1:0

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