The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 27.3%
Draw 28.2%
Colo-Colo 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.8%
25.9%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
25.3%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
0%
78.6%
Deportes La Serena - Colo Colo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 54% – 99.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 4. Mac Allister F. 33. Delgado R. 17. Salazar Y. 9. Henriquez A. 8. Escalante G. 6. Diaz S. 14. Chamorro F. 11. Rubio D. 10. Vargas J. (C)
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 8. Madrid A. 5. Mendez V. 26. Ulloa D. 24. Hernandez L. 9. Correa J. 10. Pastran L.
Substitutes
15. Contreras B. 24. Diaz F. 26. Dinamarca F. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Velasquez M.
34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 42. Diaz A. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Marchant F. 20. Mendez J. 19. Romero M. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 21. Wiemberg E.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.
Ortiz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', Henriquez A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
42', Delgado R. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Mendez V. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 1, Gutierrez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 2, Hernandez L. ⚽,
51', 2 - 2, Rubio D. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
53', Hernandez L. 🟨,
60', Madrid A. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Pastran L. ⚽, Vidal A. (A),
68', Rubio D. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,
78', Hernandez L. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
89', Lanzillotta F. 🟨,
90+1', Pastran L. ↓, Wiemberg E. ↑,
90+2', Escalante G. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
90+2', Chamorro F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Lanzillotta F. (Own goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.
Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Colo-Colo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
Colo-Colo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Colo Colo
23
17
3
3
48:22
26
54
10
La Serena
23
7
9
7
34:38
-4
30
Last Results with these Odds
Colo-Colo - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Lanzillotta F. (G) 
Gutierrez B. 
Sosa J. 
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