The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 49%
Draw 27.3%
Unión San Felipe 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
27.5%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
25.6%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curicó Unido that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2.5 - Curicó Unido (6.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curicó Unido (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (C) 14. Medina C. 4. Colombo R. 3. Sarria G. 37. Guzman R. 21. Ormeno E. 15. Sanhueza H. 10. Retamales J. 27. Alfaro J. 11. Aliaga I. 25. Lopes Acevedo M.
12. Canete L. (G) 29. Martinez L. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 25. Sanchez V. 32. Gonzalez B. 27. Garcia L. 16. Fuentes D. 9. Aravena B. 20. Fontana A. 24. Galleguillos M.
Substitutes
19. de La Fuente R. 43. Gutierrez F. 17. Inostroza B. 40. Oliver F. 18. Perez F. 1. Vergara T. (G)
5. Bravo D. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 6. Leon A. 33. Lobos F. 4. Ramirez M. 23. Vides B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Colombo R. ⚽,
44', Perales V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez V. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Perales V. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
53', Sarria G. ↓, Oliver F. ↑,
68', Alfaro J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
68', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
70', Medina C. 🟨,
70', Fontana A. 🟨,
75', Galleguillos M. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
75', Fontana A. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
78', Vides B. 🟨,
87', Retamales J. ↓, de La Fuente R. ↑,
87', Aliaga I. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
87', Fuentes D. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Inostroza B. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.
In recent matches, Curicó Unido has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión San Felipe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Curicó Unido is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Curico Unido
26
6
9
11
22:39
-17
24
15
San Felipe
26
5
7
14
16:44
-28
22
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Tello D. (C) 
Medina C. 
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