Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 21

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Felipe (San Felipe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unión San Felipe		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.00	2.20
	2.88	3.00	2.28
	2.99	3.06	2.40
	3.4	3.02	2.25	Watch
	2.90	2.95	2.40
	3.03	3.26	2.31
	2.95	3.00	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.44)	2.3 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión San Felipe
30.3%

Draw
30%

Cobreloa
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 24. Galleguillos M. 8. Palmieri N. 9. Aravena B. 20. Fontana A. 32. Lobos F.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 17. Tapia D. 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 15. Garcia D. 29. Gatica J. 21. Muga C. 32. Velazco F. 14. Aranguiz T. 11. Gotti G. 22. Delgado A.
Substitutes
1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Fuentes D. 33. Gonzalez B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 6. Leon A. 29. Martinez L. 18. Munoz P.	8. Cornejo L. 37. Duma J. 20. Matamoros F. 19. Navarro Y. 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 27. Sandoval M. 30. Tapia D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Aranguiz T. 🟨,
27', Galleguillos M. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
30', Garcia L. 🟨,
31', Gatica J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Gatica J. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
64', Gotti G. 🟨,
69', Delgado A. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
77', Lobos F. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
77', Fontana A. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Velazco F. ⚽,
83', Bravo D. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
83', Palmieri N. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
90+2', Velazco F. ↓, Cornejo L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 1.

Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cobreloa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión San Felipe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44:27	17	48
15	San Felipe	26	5	7	14	16:44	-28	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.08.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión San Felipe	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.08.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión San Felipe	5:1 ✺
25.07.26	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLLL
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.08.26	Deportes Magallanes - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Curicó Unido - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Santa Cruz	4:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Cobresal - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	2:0
12.07.25	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	3:0
23.02.25	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:1
24.09.23	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:0
16.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	2:2
26.09.22	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:0
29.04.22	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	1:1

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