Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6.25
	1.62	3.5	6.2	Watch
	1.59	3.75	6.81
	1.62	3.59	6.44
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.62	3.52	6.04	Watch
	1.55	3.66	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.6)	3.54 ↑ (3.52)	6.33 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
58.7%

Draw
26.5%

Aldosivi
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

26.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Unión Santa Fe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 7. Fragapane F. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.	1. Werner A. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 33. Zalazar N. 3. Roman F. 18. Rodriguez L. 13. Gino F. (C) 5. Bochi R. 8. Rolon E. 10. Sosa A. 19. Cordero N. 9. Arias J.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 22. Cuello B. 29. Diaz D. 43. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.	23. Chicco I. (G) 77. Da Luz M. 22. De La Vega F. 2. Enrique G. 27. Fernandez T. 7. Guzman N. 32. Leys F. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 28. Moya S. 6. Novillo J. 11. Palavecino A. 30. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
42', Roman F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fragapane F. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
59', Werner A. 🟨,
63', Palacios J. 🟨,
64', Bochi R. ↓, Leys F. ↑,
64', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
64', Palacios J. ↓, Cuello B. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Tarragona C. ⚽,
71', Rolon E. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
71', Arias J. ↓, De La Vega F. ↑,
74', Tarragona C. 🟨,
77', Del Blanco M. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
84', Gonzalez R. ↓, Enrique G. ↑,
84', Zalazar N. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
85', Tarragona C. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
89', Palavecino A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Fascendini V. (Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Morello M. (Inactive) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
29.01.26	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Platense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLT
- CA Aldosivi
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Aldosivi - San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Aldosivi - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	0:2
27.03.25	Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe	2:1
28.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	0:0
01.10.21	Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.01.21	Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.09.19	Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe	1:2
11.08.18	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	1:0

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