Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Referee: Felipe V. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.1
	2.45	2.75	3
	2.5	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.54	2.79	3.36
	2.49	2.8	3.26	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.48	2.79	3.16	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.68)	2.8 ↓ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
37.3%

Draw
33.2%

Aldosivi
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

33%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strumia J. (G) 4. Arturia G. 2. Maffini G. 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 3. Angelini L. 5. Romero F. 7. Machado W. 8. Cainelli N. 11. Gonzalez T. 10. Valiente M. 9. Reynaga R.	1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Sills J. 3. Guerrico I. 7. Sosa A. 5. Esponda M. 8. Lujan S. 11. Gonzalez L. 10. Lamendola N. 9. Colazo A.
Substitutes
12. Barlasina W. (G) 15. Blanco J. 13. De Vito Y. 16. Fenoglio V. 19. Mainero A. 14. Romero S. 18. Tevez M. 20. Villalba G.	20. Alonso A. 13. Bellon F. 17. Devesa A. 14. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez N. 15. Larralde V. 19. Morello M. 16. Pineiro G. 18. Torres E.
Coaches
Matteo A.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Arturia G. (Own goal),
22', Esponda M. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Cainelli N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Reynaga R. ⚽,
53', Arturia G. 🟨,
68', Lujan S. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
68', Gonzalez L. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
70', Guerrico I. 🟨,
74', 2 - 2, Lamendola N. ⚽,
74', Angelini L. 🟨,
78', Reynaga R. ↓, Villalba G. ↑,
79', Gonzalez T. ↓, Tevez M. ↑,
89', Valiente M. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
89', Arturia G. ↓, Fenoglio V. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.07.24	Racing de Córdoba - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Colón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTW
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.24	San Telmo - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Aldosivi - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.24	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1

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