Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	FIFA+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.82	4.33	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.3
	2.1	2.85	4.2	Watch
	2.14	2.88	4.72
	2.06	2.87	4.56
	2.15	2.7	3.9
	2.08	2.91	4.62	Watch
	2.05	2.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.35)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	4.27 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
44.6%

Draw
33.2%

Unión Santa Fe
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lanús - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 17. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 23. Carrera R. 19. Castillo R.	21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 12. Pitton B. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 11. Del Blanco M. 9. Colazo A. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
25. Aquino D. 77. Besozzi L. 9. Bou W. 20. Cabrera B. 35. De Jesus R. 37. De Martis T. 3. Morgantini N. 5. Pena Biafore F. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 16. Sepulveda M. 8. Watson F. N.	31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 19. Cuello B. 29. Diaz D. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 28. Gomes Gerth F. (G) 10. Gonzalez T. 46. Grella S. 26. Luduena J. 8. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Madelon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', Fascendini V. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Carrera R. ⚽, Castillo R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pitton B. ↓, Luduena J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Marcelino Moreno ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
59', Marcich S. 🟨,
60', Colazo A. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Tarragona C. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
68', Marcich S. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
68', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
78', Guidara T. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
78', Salvio E. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
81', Vargas L. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
81', Profini R. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
81', Tarragona C. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
85', Carrera R. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
90+1', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
90+2', Medina A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.

Lanús might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Unión: Roldan E. (Knee Injury) Solari A. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.23%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	San Lorenzo - Lanús	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.01.26	Lanús - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.11.25	Lanús - Tigre	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.11.25	Lanús - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.11.25	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Platense	0:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.03.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	2:2
05.11.23	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	1:1
03.07.22	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	3:0
31.07.21	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.03.21	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	3:2

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