Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.1	6	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.6
	1.78	3.2	5.35	Watch
	1.76	3.3	6.3
	1.75	3.29	5.6	Watch
	1.7	3	5.75
	1.76	3.16	6.43	Watch
	1.77	3.1	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)	3.13 ↑ (2.9)	5.72 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
53.3%

Draw
30.2%

Aldosivi
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Tigre - Aldosivi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Aldosivi (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tigre (1.13) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Tigre (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tigre will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tigre will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Aldosivi (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 11. Serrago T. 30. Elias J. 5. Leyes B. 33. Cabrera E. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.	1. Werner A. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 33. Zalazar N. 3. Roman F. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Sosa A. 5. Bochi R. 13. Gino F. (C) 8. Rolon E. 9. Arias J. 19. Cordero N.
Substitutes
42. Arias R. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 6. Guiffrey G. 22. Lopez S. 28. Martinez P. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 23. Pineiro G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	23. Chicco I. (G) 77. Da Luz M. 22. De La Vega F. 2. Enrique G. 27. Fernandez T. 55. Garcia M. 7. Guzman N. 32. Leys F. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 6. Novillo J. 11. Palavecino A. 30. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Gino F. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Barrionuevo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez R. ↓, Enrique G. ↑,
46', Bochi R. ↓, Leys F. ↑,
48', Alvarez F. 🟨,
59', Serrago T. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
69', Garay M. 🟨,
71', Romero D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
71', Cabrera E. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
74', Rolon E. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
75', Moreno V. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez L. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
83', Gino F. ↓, De La Vega F. ↑,
88', Fernandez T. 🟨,
89', Leyes B. ↓, Arias R. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 4.

Aldosivi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tigre is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Guiffrey G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Medina S. (Hamstring Injury) Rivero S. G. (Knee Injury) Saralegui J. (Thigh Injury) Soto G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Moya S. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	River Plate - Tigre	1:4 ✺
02.02.26	Tigre - Racing	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Belgrano - Tigre	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tigre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Racing - Tigre	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTWL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Aldosivi - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.25	Tigre - Aldosivi	2:0
09.03.25	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:2
30.09.22	Tigre - Aldosivi	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.03.22	Aldosivi - Tigre	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.09.18	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:2
03.12.16	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:1
20.05.16	Tigre - Aldosivi	2:0

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