The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 44%
Draw 35.4%
San Lorenzo 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
33.6%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
33.2%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 24. Profini R. 26. Luduena J. 7. Fragapane F. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 11. Del Blanco M. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 42. Lorenzon F. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 6. De Ritis M. 26. Abrego G. 5. Perruzzi I. 7. Cerutti E. 24. Tripichio N. 9. Cuello A. 17. Rodriguez G.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 22. Cuello B. 29. Diaz D. 43. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 15. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
15. Cardillo M. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 21. Perruzzi F. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 19. Vietto L.
Coaches
Madelon L.
Ayude D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', De Ritis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
50', Hernandez G. 🟨,
60', Abrego G. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
62', Fragapane F. ↓, Cuello B. ↑,
76', Rodriguez Pagano T. 🟨,
77', Tarragona C. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
80', Cerutti E. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
80', Rodriguez G. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
85', Luduena J. 🟨,
88', Palacios J. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
90+1', Tripichio N. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
90+4', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Unión will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Unión: Menossi L.
(Inactive)
Roldan E.
(Knee Injury)
Solari A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Inactive)
Barrios N.
(Inactive)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Montenegro L.
(Inactive)
Romana J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Unión: Fascendini V.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Unión won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
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Mansilla M. (G) 
Rodriguez M. 
Gill O. (G) 
Herazo D. 
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