Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 23

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Upington City		Venda

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.78	3.6
	2.17	2.77	3.73
	2.17	2.76	3.71	Watch
	2.15	2.6	3.6
	2.13	2.75	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.67 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Upington City
42.2%

Draw
33.2%

Venda
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

33.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Upington City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Venda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Upington City - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Upington City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Venda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Upington City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Upington City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Upington City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Upington City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Upington City	8	4	2	2	13:10	3	14
16	Venda	8	0	1	7	4:14	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Upington City FC
South African First Division
01.04.26	Black Leopards - Upington City	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Upington City	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Upington City - The Bees	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gomora United - Upington City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Upington City - Leicesterford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTW
- Venda FA
South African First Division
21.03.26	Venda - Cape Town City	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	University of Pretoria - Venda	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Venda - Baroka	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Kruger United - Venda	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Venda - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
24.01.26	Venda - Upington City	1:0
26.04.25	Venda - Upington City	1:1
05.10.24	Upington City - Venda	1:0
16.12.23	Venda - Upington City	0:2

Upington City - Venda