Match Info

FNL - Round 10

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ural		KAMAZ

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.15	7.25
	1.48	4.05	7.15
	1.45	4.19	7.18	Watch
	1.41	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	4.1 ↓ (4.64)	6.95 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
63.9%

Draw
22.7%

KAMAZ
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ural - KAMAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. 11. Bokov D. 37. Bondarev V. 99. Fourrier B. 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 17. Karapuzov V. 24. Korotkov A. 44. Malkevich V. 6. Sungatulin F.	31. Anisimov A. (G) 7. Ayukin R. (C) 65. Gulko I. 2. Khubaev D. 27. Manuylov R. 18. Popov A. 79. Semenov V. 76. Sukhanov A. 67. Tkachuk R. 37. Voronin E. 10. Zashchepkin R.
Substitutes
59. Kharin E. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 22. Leo Cordeiro 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D. 10. Sekulic M. 43. Shoronov R. . Stezhko V.	19. Bogdanets M. 15. Burko M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 6. Kalistratov T. 11. Kokotun A. 9. Moseychuk I. 13. Rybalchenko N. (G) 96. Shavel M. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G)
Coaches
Yuran S.	Khazov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ishkov I. 🟨,
24', Khubaev D. 🟨,
25', Sungatulin F. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 0, Bokov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gulko I. ↓, Shavel M. ↑,
68', Bokov D. ↓, Stezhko V. ↑,
68', Karapuzov V. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
68', Bondarev V. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
69', Ayukin R. ↓, Moseychuk I. ↑,
69', Voronin E. ↓, Bogdanets M. ↑,
70', Yuran S. 🟨,
82', Khubaev D. ↓, Dolgopolov E. ↑,
82', Semenov V. ↓, Solodukhin A. ↑,
82', Malkevich V. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Sekulic M. ⚽,
85', Ishkov I. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ural is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KAMAZ is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ural is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Ural will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ural: 7.82% Kamaz: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	14	25
16	Kamaz	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
29.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Ural	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ural - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Rotor - Ural	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ural	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWW
- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
29.08.26	Leningradets - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	KAMAZ - Sochi	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	KAMAZ - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - KAMAZ	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.05.26	Ural - KAMAZ	2:0
06.10.25	KAMAZ - Ural	5:1
05.04.25	Ural - KAMAZ	2:1
21.09.24	KAMAZ - Ural	0:2
Russian Cup
27.10.21	KAMAZ - Ural	1:0

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