The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ural 37.9%
Draw 28%
Sochi 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
27%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.9%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sochi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sochi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ural - Sochi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Mamin A. (G) 55. Ayupov T. 2. Begic S. 21. Dmitriev I. 5. Egorychev A. 24. Filipenko E. 6. Goglichidze L. 11. Ionov A. 79. Kashtanov A. 43. Margasov T. 8. Miskic D. (C)
35. Degtev A. (G) 18. Burmistrov N. 23. Guarirapa S. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 4. Litvinov V. 17. Makarchuk A. 88. Makarov A. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 21. Saavedra I. 27. Zaika K.
Substitutes
99. Arapov D. (G) 22. Beveev M. 3. Bocherov V. 27. Chudin I. 4. Emerson 15. Ishkov I. 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 42. Mosin E. K. 7. Porokhov I. 50. Voronov M. 14. Zheleznov Y.
59. Bart R. 11. Fedorov Z. 24. Khezhev A. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 6. Levin V. 28. Magal R. 20. Martovoy D. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 15. Suslov K. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Averyanov E.
Moreno R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Burmistrov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Ayupov T. ⚽,
59', Makarchuk A. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
59', Burmistrov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
67', Makarov A. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
72', Egorychev A. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
72', Goglichidze L. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
76', Saavedra I. 🟨,
81', Ishkov I. 🟨,
82', Kramaric M. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
82', Saavedra I. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
88', Ionov A. ↓, Chudin I. ↑,
88', Dmitriev I. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑,
90+4', Chudin I. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Ural could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Ural will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Ural won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
Watch
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Mamin A. (G) 
Begic S. 
Filipenko E. 
Guarirapa S. 
Kramaric M. 
Marcelo Alves (C) 
Saavedra I. 
Emerson 
Moreno R. 
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