Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: VEB Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	CSKA Moscow		Ural

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.65	3.44
	2.05	3.65	3.44
	2.12	3.82	3.56
	2.12	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.69 ↓ (3.89)	3.39 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
45.7%

Draw
26%

Ural
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

CSKA Moscow - Ural Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Akinfeev I. (G) 78. Diveev I. 4. Willyan Rocha 77. Agapov I. 2. Khellven 5. Zdjelar S. 88. Mendez V. 10. Oblyakov I. 7. Davila V. 11. Musaev T. 21. Fayzullaev A.	71. Mamin A. (G) 15. Kulakov D. 2. Begic S. 24. Filipenko E. 16. Italo 8. Miskic D. 44. Cisse I. 5. Egorychev A. 97. Ishkov I. 79. Kashtanov A. 21. Dmitriev I.
Substitutes
19. Aissaoui S. A. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 9. Chalov F. 17. Glebov K. 47. Golybin R. 31. Kislyak M. 90. Lukin M. 14. Nababkin K. 96. Reyvandi A. 68. Ryadno M. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 91. Zabolotnyi A.	55. Ayupov T. 22. Beveev M. 10. Bicfalvi E. 3. Bocherov V. 4. Emerson 11. Ionov A. 80. Kontsevoy A. 17. Malkevich V. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 9. Schettine G. 77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 20. Vloet R.
Coaches
Fedotov V.	Goncharenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Musaev T. 🟨,
27', Begic S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Davila V. ⚽, Khellven (A),
42', 2 - 0, Musaev T. ⚽,
44', Italo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agapov I. ↓, Nababkin K. ↑,
46', Kashtanov A. ↓, Bicfalvi E. ↑,
46', Ishkov I. ↓, Ionov A. ↑,
46', Miskic D. ↓, Schettine G. ↑,
59', Davila V. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
64', Cisse I. ↓, Vloet R. ↑,
66', Diveev I. 🟨,
78', Bicfalvi E. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
84', Musaev T. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
84', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
90+1', Oblyakov I. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSKA won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

CSKA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CSKA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches CSKA won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35-12.

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
20.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	2:6 ✺
Russian Cup
15.05.24	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
11.05.24	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
06.05.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.05.24	CSKA Moscow - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTT
- FK Ural
Russian Premier League
19.05.24	Ural - Orenburg	3:3 ✺
12.05.24	Fakel - Ural	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Rubin Kazan - Ural	1:1 ✺
25.04.24	Ural - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
22.07.23	Ural - CSKA Moscow	2:1
Russian Cup
03.05.23	Ural - CSKA Moscow	1:2
19.04.23	CSKA Moscow - Ural	1:1
Russian Premier League
15.04.23	Ural - CSKA Moscow	1:2
Russian Cup
22.11.22	Ural - CSKA Moscow	1:0 penalties
14.09.22	CSKA Moscow - Ural	2:1
Russian Premier League
16.07.22	CSKA Moscow - Ural	2:0

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