Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Bezborodov V. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Ural

	1	X	2
	2.96	3.3	2.49
	3.03	3.22	2.45
	3.05	3.53	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.6)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.44 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
31.9%

Draw
28.8%

Ural
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Akron Tolyatti - Ural Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 77. Savichev K. (C) 26. Andjelkovic N. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 6. Makarov S. 23. Danilin K. 10. Palienko M. 27. Chudin I. 9. Glushkov N. 11. Ponce A.	71. Mamin A. (G) 15. Kulakov D. (C) 2. Begic S. 4. Emerson 16. Italo 44. Cisse I. 55. Ayupov T. 97. Ishkov I. 8. Miskic D. 11. Ionov A. 79. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 91. Boldyrev M. 70. Eldarushev A. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 24. Pogosov A. 19. Sangare D. (G)	22. Beveev M. 10. Bicfalvi E. 3. Bocherov V. 21. Dmitriev I. 5. Egorychev A. 24. Filipenko E. 80. Kontsevoy A. 17. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 9. Schettine G. 20. Vloet R.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Goncharenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ayupov T. ↓, Schettine G. ↑,
46', Glushkov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Ponce A. ⚽,
53', Ishkov I. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
56', Bart R. 🟨,
59', Emerson ↓, Filipenko E. ↑,
60', 🟨,
63', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
63', Danilin K. ↓, Kilin A. ↑,
67', Kashtanov A. ↓, Bicfalvi E. ↑,
67', Kilin A. 🟨,
68', Schettine G. ↓, Vloet R. ↑,
70', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
71', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Bokoev M. ↑,
73', Cisse I. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Begic S. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Begic S. ⚽,
87', Palienko M. 🟨,
87', Makarov S. ↓, Pesegov E. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+9', Pesegov E. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Akron won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Ural - Akron Tolyatti	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
25.05.24	Akron Tolyatti - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
16.05.24	Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLW
- FK Ural
Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Ural - Akron Tolyatti	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	CSKA Moscow - Ural	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Ural - Orenburg	3:3 ✺
12.05.24	Fakel - Ural	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Ural - Akron Tolyatti	0:2
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Ural - Akron Tolyatti	2:2
11.02.21	Akron Tolyatti - Ural	0:1

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