Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! Planeta


	Ural		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.15	7.17
	1.46	4.13	7.17	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.03 ↑ (3.8)	6.69 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
62.5%

Draw
23.4%

Volga Ulyanovsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Ural will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 6. Sungatulin F. 35. Prishchepa D. 4. Bardachev M. 2. Begic S. (C) 37. Bondarev V. 13. Akbashev R. 14. Zheleznov Y. 44. Malkevich V. 42. Mosin E. 50. Voronov M.	86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 20. Kovalev K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 27. Umnikov M. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 17. Gershun I. 28. Novikov D. 37. Voronin E. 10. Uridia G.
Substitutes
5. Ayupov T. 24. Filipenko E. 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 7. Kashtanov A. 71. Mamin A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 1. Oparin M. (G) 31. Sergeev M. M.	77. Gutsa A. 1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 15. Kokoev D. 6. Kozlov I. 91. Molodtsov A. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 97. Zubenko I.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Khabibullin A. (Own goal),
8', Begic S. 🟨,
15', Gershun I. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Akbashev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Gutsa A. ↑,
46', Uridia G. ↓, Pshennikov E. ↑,
50', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Voronov M. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Voronov M. ⚽,
70', Voronov M. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
72', Kovalev K. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
73', Gershun I. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
73', Novikov D. ↓, Kozlov I. ↑,
80', Begic S. ↓, Mamin A. ↑,
81', Akbashev R. ↓, Sergeev M. M. ↑,
81', Bondarev V. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 14).

Ural is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Volga Ulyanovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ural is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Ural will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
18.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ural	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ural - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Shinnik - Ural	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
17.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
16.09.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ural	0:3

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