Match Info

FNL - Round 2

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Ural		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.18	4.96
	1.89	3.2	4.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.65)	3.19 ↓ (3.84)	4.76 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
50.3%

Draw
29.7%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Users Predictions: Ural will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ural will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 13. Akbashev R. 5. Ayupov T. 4. Bardachev M. 2. Begic S. (C) 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 44. Malkevich V. 10. Sekulic M. 6. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y.	32. Matyusha M. (G) 9. Aliev S. 2. Cherov V. (C) 31. Kasimov T. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Lozhkin V. 88. Masternoy V. 99. Morozov K. 18. Nikolaev O. 3. Pliev Z. 8. Tarba Z.
Substitutes
37. Bondarev V. 7. Kashtanov A. 59. Kharin E. 71. Mamin A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. 1. Oparin M. (G) 31. Sergeev M. M. 50. Voronov M.	22. Gorelov P. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 69. Rodionov I. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 89. Stotskiy D. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 77. Zarypbekov E. 10. Zhigulev I. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Pervushin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
41', Masternoy V. 🟨,
45+1', Kirsch I. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Bardachev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lozhkin V. ↓, Zhigulev I. ↑,
46', Morozov K. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Nikolaev O. ⚽,
59', Kasimov T. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
65', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
65', Ishkov I. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
69', Tarba Z. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
77', Akbashev R. ↓, Mosin E. ↑,
78', Ayupov T. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
79', Sekulic M. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
86', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
87', Masternoy V. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
88', Kharin E. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Begic S. ⚽,

Preview

Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
19.07.25	Shinnik - Ural	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Ural	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
31.05.25	Akhmat Grozny - Ural	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Ural - Akhmat Grozny	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
21.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.03.25	Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1
27.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural	3:2
Russian Cup
25.09.19	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural	0:2

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