Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Ural 2		Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	5.67	4.05	1.52
	5	3.8	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (3.41)	3.93 ↑ (3.32)	1.52 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural 2
17%

Draw
23.2%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

27.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

26.8%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural 2's form might have worsened.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ural 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Mikhaylovskiy R. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Maksimchuk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 3, Kozhukhar I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Pobeda is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	28	15	5	8	59:42	17	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.05.26	Ural 2 - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Ural 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Ural 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Izhevsk - Ural 2	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Ural 2 - KDV Tomsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWL
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Chelyabinsk 2	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Izhevsk	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	KDV Tomsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Orenburg-2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLT

Ural 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide