The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Urartu Yerevan 63.8%
Draw 21.5%
Van 14.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.7%
19.9%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
18.7%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Van has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urartu Yerevan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Van than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Urartu Yerevan - Van Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Mishiev A. (G) 8. Aghasaryan N. (C) 18. Bratkov A. 66. Dadamyan Z. 28. Ishibashi K. 77. Lulukyan G. 6. Manukyan P. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 3. Piloyan E. 9. Rajani M. 91. van Lingen O.
45. Bokov D. (G) 15. Akanni A. S. 7. Avetisyan P. (C) 27. Gaba J. 99. Jesus R. 21. Lweendo C. 36. Makhsudyan V. 91. Polonskyi D. 17. Sammani K. 2. Torres J. 33. Voskanyan T.
Substitutes
5. Alef Santos 99. Ayvazyan K. 21. Bashoyan L. 30. Bruno Michel 33. Dragojevic A. (G) 4. Ghazaryan A. 10. Melkonyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 11. Vardanyan E. 27. Velosa M. 15. Veremeev V.
90. Ajanda I. 13. Alex 16. Ayvazyan P. (G) 28. Boukari K. 77. Brayann Santiago 38. Gevorgyan T. 53. Hakobyan A. 11. Karapetyan A. 10. Manukyan N. 25. Mensah E. 19. Minasyan V. 9. Sargsyan T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Sammani K. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Rajani M. ⚽,
30', Voskanyan T. 🟨,
31', Jesus R. 🟨,
38', Lulukyan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Jesus R. ↓, Brayann Santiago ↑,
46', Lulukyan G. ↓, Velosa M. ↑,
48', Avetisyan P. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, van Lingen O. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Sammani K. ⚽,
57', Gaba J. ↓, Alex ↑,
60', Bratkov A. 🟨,
62', Torres J. 🟨,
64', 3 - 2, Rajani M. ⚽,
65', Dadamyan Z. ↓, Ayvazyan K. ↑,
71', Sammani K. ↓, Ajanda I. ↑,
71', Polonskyi D. ↓, Gevorgyan T. ↑,
74', Bratkov A. ↓, Tsymbalyuk Y. ↑,
80', Makhsudyan V. 🟨,
82', Aghasaryan N. ↓, Alef Santos ↑,
82', Rajani M. ↓, Mirzoyan M. ↑,
84', Makhsudyan V. ↓, Boukari K. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, van Lingen O. ⚽,
90', van Lingen O. 🟨,
90+3', 5 - 2, Mirzoyan M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this matchup, Urartu is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Urartu has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:15 (averaging 1.9:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Urartu against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 19:7 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).
Watch
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Mishiev A. (G) 
Bratkov A. 
Ishibashi K. 
Rajani M. 
van Lingen O. 
Bokov D. (G) 
Akanni A. S. 
Gaba J. 
Jesus R. 
Lweendo C. 
Torres J. 
Dragojevic A. (G) 
Mensah E. 
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