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Current Win Probability
Van 53.3%
Draw 24.7%
Gandzasar 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.1%
25.5%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
23.6%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Van has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Van's performance.
Gandzasar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gandzasar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Van than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Van that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gandzasar than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gandzasar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Rocha T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Avetisyan P. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
109', 2 - 1, Boukari K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van won 4.
Van has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gandzasar is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Van has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 18:6 (averaging 2.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Van against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:3 goals (averaging 3:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Van - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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