Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.00	Watch
	1.49	4.40	5.75
	1.57	3.95	5.00	Watch
	1.51	4.72	6.43
	1.62	4.1	5.1	Watch
	1.48	4.70	6.30
	1.50	4.25	6.65	Watch
	1.47	4.50	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	4.37 ↑ (3.85)	5.95 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
62.5%

Draw
21.6%

JEF United Chiba
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urawa Red Diamonds's performance.

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Urawa Red Diamonds - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 3. Danilo Boza 2. Miyamoto Y. (C) 5. Nemoto K. 6. Yamane M. 25. Yasui K. 12. Seko T. 88. Naganuma Y. 7. Kaneko T. 10. Matheus Savio 36. Hidano R.	19. Suarez J. (G) 15. Mae T. 13. Suzuki D. (C) 2. Nduka B. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 6. Eduardo 41. Yasui T. 37. Himeno M. 99. Erison 29. Yamura K.
Substitutes
23. Fukui K. (G) 11. Gustafson S. 39. Hayakawa J. 18. Hayashi K. 17. Komori H. 15. Kudo K. 45. Onaiwu A. 33. Sasa S. 37. Ueki H.	9. Goya H. 28. Kawano T. 25. Matheus Indio 45. Rocha L. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 24. Toriumi K. 8. Tsukui T.
Coaches
Cho K.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Suzuki D. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Kaneko T. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Nduka B. ⚽, Yasui T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yasui K. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Nemoto K. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
58', Hidano R. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
61', Himeno M. ↓, Matheus Indio ↑,
66', Yamura K. 🟨,
68', Tanaka K. 🟨,
73', Eduardo ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,
73', Yamura K. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
73', Tanaka K. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Sasa S. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
83', Yasui T. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
83', Matheus Savio ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
87', Matheus Indio 🟨,
89', Taguchi T. 🟨,
90', Kaneko T. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90', Yamane M. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Tsukui T. ⚽, Erison (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 19th in the Relegation - J2 League).

Urawa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

JEF United is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

JEF United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Urawa has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Urawa for this game.

Confirmed absences for JEF United: Iida T. (Hamstring Injury) Kida H. (Broken Leg) Ueda Y. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Urawa in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Urawa has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Urawa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Urawa Reds	10	5	0	5	17:21	-4	15
19	Chiba	10	1	3	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
17.10.26	Mito HollyHock - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:4 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
17.10.26	JEF United Chiba - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Fagiano Okayama - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - JEF United Chiba	2:0
06.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2

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