The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fagiano Okayama 44.3%
Draw 27.9%
JEF United Chiba 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
22.4%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fagiano Okayama's form might have worsened.
JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JEF United Chiba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Fagiano Okayama - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
1. Moser L. (G) 8. Esaka A. 33. Kamiya Yuta 99. Lucao 28. Matsumoto M. 41. Miyamoto E. 44. Mori S. 19. Sato R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 43. Suzuki Y. 18. Tagami D.
23. Suzuki R. (G) 6. Eduardo 99. Erison 9. Goya H. 66. Hall D. 37. Himeno M. 39. Ishio R. 42. Issaka Z. 25. Matheus Indio 2. Nduka B. 11. Yonekura K.
Substitutes
77. Kawanami G. (G) 20. Kawano K. 9. Leo Gaucho 10. Na Sang-Ho 80. Oberdan 6. Omori H. 51. Shirai K. 48. Tatsuta Y. 88. Yamane T.
38. Amagasa T. 28. Kawano T. 30. Matsumura T. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 45. Rocha L. 44. Shinada M. 13. Suzuki D. 8. Tsukui T. 41. Yasui T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Matheus Indio ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
18', Tagami D. ↓, Tatsuta Y. ↑,
19', (Penalty Awarded),
29', Ishio R. 🟨,
45+6', Yonekura K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
59', Miyamoto E. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
59', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Oberdan ↑,
59', Sato R. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Matsumoto M. ⚽,
70', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,
74', Goya H. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
74', Himeno M. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
75', Yonekura K. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
80', Esaka A. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
81', Issaka Z. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
82', Leo Gaucho 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
Okayama has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by JEF United have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, JEF United has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Okayama is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Okayama in today's match, at odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Okayama has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:32 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Okayama against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:15 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).
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Moser L. (G) 
Esaka A. 
Lucao 
Hall D. 
Na Sang-Ho 
Rocha L. 
