Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	Fuji TV One, SKY PerfecTV!


	Kataller Toyama		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.7
	6.25	4.50	1.37
	4	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.96	3.95	1.8
	3.97	3.88	1.79
	3.8	3.7	1.75
	4.05	3.84	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (4.17)	3.87 ↓ (3.91)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
21.8%

Draw
23.9%

Urawa Red Diamonds
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.2%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

22.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kataller Toyama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kataller Toyama - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 2. Matsumoto H. 40. Takeuchi Y. 23. Nishiya S. 8. Matsuoka D. 34. Takenaka G. 6. Sera S. 32. Mizoguchi S. 13. Ogawa K. 55. Kunitake Y. 30. Nakashima Y.	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 6. Yamane M. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 18. Hayashi K. 12. Seko T. 25. Yasui K. 37. Ueki H. 7. Kaneko T. 42. Minamino H. 10. Matheus Savio
Substitutes
39. Furukawa M. 99. Harada G. (G) 5. Imase J. 77. Kagawa T. 3. Kagawa Y. 10. Matsuda R. 19. Saneto Y. 33. Takahashi Y. 15. Tsuboi K.	44. Arai Y. (G) 11. Gustafson S. 36. Hidano R. 32. Katayama E. 17. Komori H. 88. Naganuma Y. 45. Onaiwu A. 33. Sasa S. 13. Watanabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Nakashima Y. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Kaneko T. ⚽, Minamino H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', Kunitake Y. ↓, Kagawa T. ↑,
53', Nakashima Y. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
54', Takeuchi Y. 🟨,
61', Minamino H. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Mizoguchi S. ⚽, Ogawa K. (A),
66', Ogawa K. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
66', Matsumoto H. ↓, Kagawa Y. ↑,
67', Ueki H. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Matsuda R. ⚽, Matsuoka D. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Komori H. ⚽,
81', Seko T. ↓, Hidano R. ↑,
81', Hayashi K. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
81', Matheus Savio ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Hidano R. ⚽, Yasui K. (A),
89', Sera S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,

Preview

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Kataller Toyama may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Urawa is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kataller Toyama has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

Urawa Reds: 1.87%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Yokohama FC	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTWW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kataller Toyama	1:0

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