Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Pasaia		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	2.93	3.28	2.28
	2.94	3.28	2.26
	2.94	3.13	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.59)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pasaia
31.1%

Draw
28.6%

Lagun Onak
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pasaia - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pasaia	5	3	1	1	7:6	1	10
9	Lagun Onak	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.03.26	Deusto - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pasaia - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Ignacio - Pasaia	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pasaia - Derio	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Touring KE - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWLT
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.03.26	Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Lagun Onak - Deusto	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lagun Onak - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Derio - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.04.25	Lagun Onak - Pasaia	0:0
14.12.24	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	3:3
27.01.24	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	0:1
09.09.23	Lagun Onak - Pasaia	2:1
11.03.23	Lagun Onak - Pasaia	2:6
05.11.22	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	0:0
08.01.22	Lagun Onak - Pasaia	1:2

Pasaia - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide