The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 45.1%
Draw 29.5%
Trujillanos 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
26.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.5%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Zamora - Trujillanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Velasquez B. (G) 40. Valladares I. 4. Rodriguez B. 25. Mosquera J. 22. Madera J. 77. Jimenez N. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 20. Sulbaran S. (C) 38. Sinisterra J. 17. Marco Bustillo 10. Celis R.
12. Garcia O. (G) 88. Granados M. 4. Gnemmi E. 15. Rodriguez D. 30. Granados J. (C) 26. Araujo A. 22. Gonzalez K. 5. Abet A. 10. Abreu E. 23. Paredes J. 9. Gonzalez F.
Substitutes
70. Espinal F. 28. Exime J. 8. Flores A. 9. Flores Marchan A. D. 7. Gallardo E. 11. Manrique H. 33. Martinez N. 13. Matos A. 6. Moreno J. 14. Palacios K. 1. Paredes E. (G) 24. Ramirez H.
36. Carmona J. 8. Echeverria J. 14. Femia N. 24. Gil C. 6. Gonzalez J. 33. Gonzalez M. 90. Linarez D. 1. Lopez V. (G) 2. Morales B. 11. Mosquera L. 77. Parra G. 7. Santos C.
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Echeverria M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Celis R. 🟨,
33', Granados M. 🟨,
37', Diaz Moreno C. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Granados J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Marco Bustillo ⚽, Valladares I. (A),
56', Abreu E. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Gonzalez K. (A),
62', Diaz Moreno C. M. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
62', Celis R. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
66', Sulbaran S. 🟨,
67', Valladares I. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
72', Araujo A. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Paredes J. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Madera J. ↓, Exime J. ↑,
87', Mosquera J. ↓, Flores Marchan A. D. ↑,
88', Paredes J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
88', Abet A. ↓, Santos C. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 5.
Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Trujillanos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Zamora is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:15. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
Watch
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Velasquez B. (G) 
Mosquera J. 
Gnemmi E. 
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