The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 35.5%
Draw 30.2%
Caracas 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
30.5%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
30.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Trujillanos - Caracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Garcia O. (G) 88. Granados M. 4. Gnemmi E. 15. Rodriguez D. 30. Granados J. (C) 26. Araujo A. 22. Gonzalez K. 11. Mosquera L. 7. Santos C. 23. Paredes J. 9. Gonzalez F.
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 11. Marquez M. 15. Larotonda C. 8. Gudino I. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. De Santis J. 39. Villarreal A.
Substitutes
5. Abet A. 36. Carmona J. 8. Echeverria J. 14. Femia N. 6. Gonzalez J. 33. Gonzalez M. 90. Linarez D. 1. Lopez V. (G) 18. Mendez J. 2. Morales B. 35. Nakache D. 77. Parra G.
33. Correa W. 10. Covea M. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 17. Reinoso L. 32. Uribe J. 6. Vaquer N. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Echeverria M.
Lazzaro M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marquez M. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
55', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
61', Mosquera L. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
61', Santos C. ↓, Abet A. ↑,
61', Larotonda C. ↓, Covea M. ↑,
66', Robert Hernandez ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
66', Villarreal A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
77', De Santis J. ↓, Vaquer N. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Uribe J. ⚽,
83', Vaquer N. 🟥,
84', Gnemmi E. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez D. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
86', Gonzalez K. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 0.
Trujillanos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Caracas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Trujillanos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).