Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.65	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.76	2.92	2.69
	2.76	2.92	2.69
	2.56	2.98	2.66
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.1)	3 ↓ (3.18)	2.64 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
34.5%

Draw
30.7%

Talavera de la Reina
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursaria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Talavera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Badajoz - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	UD San Fernando - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Ursaria - CD Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Unión Adarve - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Ursaria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWLT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT

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