Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 7

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.68	5.6
	1.55	3.64	5.5
	1.62	3.55	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	5.32 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
57.7%

Draw
25.2%

UD San Fernando
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talavera de la Reina's form might have worsened.

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Talavera in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Fernando has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Talavera to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	UD San Fernando - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	CD Guadalajara - UD San Fernando	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	UD San Fernando - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Sebastian Reyes - UD San Fernando	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWTW

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