Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.14	3.25	3
	2.16	3.22	3.02
	2.13	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.55	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
42.3%

Draw
27.1%

Olimpia Zambrów
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Zambrów will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 2.

Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zambrów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursus Warszawa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.09.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Ursus Warszawa - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Legia II - Ursus Warszawa	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Ursus Warszawa - Mławianka Mława	1:2 ✺
17.08.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLL
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.09.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Sokół Ostróda	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.05.21	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	2:4
25.11.20	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0
14.09.19	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1
20.04.19	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	2:1
05.09.18	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
19.05.18	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	1:3
14.10.17	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1

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