Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	3.25
	1.89	3.66	3.29
	1.89	3.66	3.29
	1.93	3.74	3.16	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.8)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	3.22 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
47.5%

Draw
24.5%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Zambrów's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Zambrów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Zambrów is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zambrów will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Wikielec	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Victoria Sulejówek	3:1 ✺
29.09.23	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWT
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:2 ✺
07.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.03.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
17.08.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4
12.09.20	Olimpia Zambrów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2

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