Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 32

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.05	3.34	2.07
	3.13	3.54	2.07	Watch
	2.83	3.55	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.7)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
29.3%

Draw
26.2%

Pelikan Łowicz
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-3%)

Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 3.

Ursus Warszawa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pelikan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pelikan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:0 ✺
24.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Ursus Warszawa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLLL
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
21.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Błonianka Błonie	5:2 ✺
13.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	3:1
18.06.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	0:2
20.11.21	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1
29.05.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	0:1
27.03.21	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
26.10.19	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0
13.04.19	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1

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