Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday


	Ursus Warszawa		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.68
	3.63	3.9	1.72
	3.98	4	1.71	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
23.9%

Draw
23.4%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

23.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursus Warszawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Ursus Warszawa	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg	4:3 ✺
22.04.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Concordia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	1:0
23.04.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	2:0
11.09.21	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
05.12.20	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	2:2
10.06.17	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	0:1

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