Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 28

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.12	3.94	1.88
	2.93	3.54	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
29.1%

Draw
25.6%

Unia Skierniewice
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Unia Skierniewice will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Unia Skierniewice will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.05.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Ursus Warszawa	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg	4:3 ✺
22.04.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Warta Sieradz - Ursus Warszawa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.05.23	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	4:0 ✺
12.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.10.22	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	2:0
04.05.22	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	2:1
28.08.21	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	1:2
31.10.20	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:2
14.08.19	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:0
22.06.19	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	4:0
17.11.18	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	2:1

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