Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.5	1.92
	3.51	3.68	1.97
	3.35	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
27.5%

Draw
25.5%

Polonia Warsaw
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

17.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.08.21	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Ursus Warszawa - Wissa Szczuczyn	1:1 ✺
18.08.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:3 ✺
14.08.21	Ursus Warszawa - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	ŁKS Łódź II - Ursus Warszawa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWTL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.08.21	Polonia Warsaw - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Polonia Warsaw	1:5 ✺
18.08.21	Polonia Warsaw - Błonianka Błonie	3:0 ✺
10.08.21	Unia Skierniewice - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.20	Polonia Warsaw - Ursus Warszawa	2:1
07.03.20	Ursus Warszawa - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
10.08.19	Polonia Warsaw - Ursus Warszawa	0:1
06.04.19	Polonia Warsaw - Ursus Warszawa	0:2
25.08.18	Ursus Warszawa - Polonia Warsaw	2:3
17.03.18	Polonia Warsaw - Ursus Warszawa	2:1
12.08.17	Ursus Warszawa - Polonia Warsaw	0:3

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