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Current Win Probability
Utebo 57.5%
Draw 24.9%
Beasain 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
24.3%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
23%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Utebo - Beasain Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Pita M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Delgado J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Barry B. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Lizaso E. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Utebo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Beasain is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Utebo is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Utebo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
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