Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	UD Logroñés		Utebo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.15
	1.75	3.39	4.41	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.38
	1.81	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)	3.25 ↓ (3.39)	4.34 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
50.7%

Draw
28.2%

Utebo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

28.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

UD Logroñés - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Santana I. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Benitez C. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Lhery Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 3 - 1, Pedrosa J. M. ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Logroñés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Utebo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utebo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Logroñés is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Logroñés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	UD Logroñés - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	UD Logroñés - Beasain	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWT
- Utebo FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Utebo - Huesca	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	Utebo - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Náxara - Utebo	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alfaro - Utebo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.03.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	1:1
26.10.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	2:0
04.05.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	0:3
07.01.24	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:0

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