Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Utebo		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	1.86	3.23	4.17
	2.15	3.25	3.13	Watch
	1.81	3.38	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
48.7%

Draw
28%

Amorebieta
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utebo's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Utebo - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Alberca I. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Barry B. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Castaneda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Utebo could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Amorebieta - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.25%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Náxara - Utebo	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alfaro - Utebo	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Utebo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Zaragoza B - Utebo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.25	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gernika - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Amorebieta - Basconia	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Amorebieta - Beasain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTW

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