Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Utebo		Brea

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.9	6.86
	1.57	3.46	6.86
	1.51	3.46	6.65
	1.55	3.45	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	3.55 ↓ (3.9)	6.48 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
59.7%

Draw
26%

Brea
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

21.8%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Utebo - Brea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Utebo won 3.

Utebo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Utebo is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Utebo to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Utebo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Utebo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.12.23	Mutilvera - Utebo	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Utebo - Gernika	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Zaragoza B - Utebo	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Utebo - Real Sociedad C	3:1 ✺
05.11.23	Alavés B - Utebo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW
- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.12.23	Gernika - Brea	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Brea - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Náxara - Brea	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Brea - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Calahorra - Brea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.04.23	Brea - Utebo	1:1
17.12.22	Utebo - Brea	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
07.03.21	Utebo - Brea	1:0
09.02.20	Utebo - Brea	4:0
22.09.19	Brea - Utebo	1:0
13.01.19	Utebo - Brea	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.01.18	Utebo - Brea	2:1

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