Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Gernika		Brea

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.2
	1.87	3.2	4.33
	1.83	3.15	4.93
	1.79	3.15	4.94
	1.75	3.18	4.65
	1.81	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	4.59 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
50.7%

Draw
29.3%

Brea
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

21.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brea than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Gernika - Brea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Gernika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.11.23	Utebo - Gernika	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Gernika - Náxara	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Tudelano - Gernika	5:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Gernika - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.11.23	Brea - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Náxara - Brea	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Brea - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Calahorra - Brea	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.01.23	Brea - Gernika	1:0
11.09.22	Gernika - Brea	1:1

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