The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utebo 36.9%
Draw 31.7%
Teruel 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
27.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.4%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Utebo - Teruel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Serrano I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Leiton C. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Frodo ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Bertino G. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Fustos D. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Utebo won 1.
Utebo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Teruel in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Utebo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Utebo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Teruel - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.