Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Utebo		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.32
	2.98	3.05	2.36	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.27	3.17	2.32
	3.33	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.46)	3 ↓ (3.22)	2.31 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
29.8%

Draw
30.5%

UD Logroñés
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

27.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utebo - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Alberca I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, Alberca I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Utebo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Logroñés is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Logroñés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Utebo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Eibar B - Utebo	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Utebo - Sestao	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Utebo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	UD Logroñés - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	SD Logroñés - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	UD Logroñés - Ejea	4:1 ✺
07.12.25	Zaragoza B - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	UD Logroñés - Gernika	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:1
09.03.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	1:1
26.10.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	2:0
04.05.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	0:3
07.01.24	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:0

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